September 2, 2024

🥛 5 high-performing portfolio strategies 📈

Today's edition is brought to you by Exponential.fi – the safe and easy way to earn double-digit yield on your crypto through DeFi.

ENDS TOMORROW: Earn an extra 3% on your BTC!

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GM. This is Milk Road. The Jackie Chan of crypto newsletters (short, funny, and consistently packing punches!).

Here’s what we got for you today:

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WHAT’S THE BEST STRATEGY FOR YOUR PORTFOLIO? 🤔

  • Coca-Cola’s formula

  • The Colonel’s 11 herbs and spices

  • Your gf’s real opinion on that necklace you bought her last Christmas

These are all secrets you’re never going to learn (though, chances are she hated it).

Good news is: in crypto, there are no ‘secret’ recipes to a winning portfolio – everything is public and free to analyze, test, and adopt! 🌐

So today we’re getting to the bottom of 5 crypto investment strategies that have outperformed the S&P 500 by 100% or more between Jan 2023 and August 2024 – teasing out what worked, and what fell short.

1/ Cap-weighted strategy (aka the balanced play)

This is the crypto version of the S&P 500. The cap-weighted portfolio spreads your investment across the top 20 cryptocurrencies based on their market cap. 

Meaning, just like S&P 500 funds give more weight to larger companies like Apple and Microsoft, this strategy gives more love to bigger cryptos like $BTC and $ETH.

The result? A respectable 144% return. 

Not bad, right? 

…but we’re just getting started.

2/ 80/20 BTC-ETH split (aka the classic combo)

Now, let’s talk about a fan favorite: the 80/20 Bitcoin-Ethereum split (the ‘Coke & Pepsi’ of the crypto world). 

This pairing boosted returns even higher, rocketing up to a 190% gain. 

3/ BTC maxi (aka all-in on the king)

Feeling bold? 

The Bitcoin solo strategy, where you put all your chips on the biggest dog in the yard, would have rewarded you with a cool 226% return. 

Not too shabby for putting all your eggs in one big, digital basket. 🥚 

4/ Buy-the-dip (aka catching the falling knife)

Here’s where things get really spicy. 

Start with $5,000 in $BTC and keep another $5,000 in stablecoins, ready to pounce on any 10% dip over a five-day period. 

But don’t be fooled…

This strategy would have turned your $10K into $48,300 – pushing your portfolio up over 500% at its March peak!

From a psychological standpoint, buying the dip without losing your cool is much harder than it appears.

You’ll need nerves of steel, the patience of a monk, and the skills of a seasoned trader to pull this off.

The types of things most market participants just don’t have in their toolkit. 🔪 

5/ 60% BTC, 20% ETH, 20% SOL (aka the lean machine)

Now, here's where things get…interesting. 

You might think the 60% $BTC and 20% $ETH allocations would carry this strategy. 

But guess what? It's that last 20% – $SOL – that really drives the magic here. 🪄 

Despite having a small allocation, Solana’s explosive performance turns this portfolio into a powerhouse, delivering a staggering 620% return. 

Timing and asset selection are everything in crypto, and this is proof that even a small bet on the right asset can be a game-changer.

Alright, there you have it – five buy-and-hold strategies that have outperformed the S&P 500 by at least 100% between Jan 2023 and August 2024!

Want to see that chart again? Don’t worry, we’ll save you the trouble of scrolling…

(Carries new weight now that you have that added context, huh?)

If you take anything away from this article, it should be this: 

  1. That old-school diversification strategy your grandpa swore by (aka cap-weighted)? Turns out, in the crypto world, it’s not always the safest bet – it performed the worst!

  2. Simple strategies have the potential to not only work, but outperform.

  3. Crypto is not short of opportunities – a strategy boasting +144% returns over the past ~20 months was the worst performer of the bunch!

  4. Don’t buy your girlfriend jewelry unless she specifically asks for it and directs you on which piece to buy.

Alright, Milk Man out!

UNLOCK YOUR BITCOIN’S FULL POTENTIAL 🚀

Making money when $BTC pumps is cool. 

Making money on $BTC all the time is even better. 😉

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To celebrate their BTC funding launch, they’re extending their 3% annual reward bonus on BTC deposits and investments to September 3rd (a.k.a. tomorrow), so don’t miss out!

(Pro tip: Stack that with their 8.5% $BTC pool yield, and boom—you’re looking at 10%+ on your $BTC. 🤯)

Ready to roll? Get started today.

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WHAT TO WATCH FOR THIS MONTH 📅

Aight, Milk Man back!

September is here – and with it comes a slew of new events that could potentially affect your portfolio. 

So we did some digging, turned the stove up to its highest setting, and boiled everything down into a simple list.

Here’s what to look out for:

1/ Macro 📊

  • 10 Sep – US Presidential Debate: Crypto markets have a tendency to react well to forecasts of Trump winning November’s election. This debate will directly impact those forecasts.

  • 11 Sep – CPI Data Release: How much has the cost of everyday items increased/decreased over the last month? Softening CPI = lowering financial pressure on consumers.

  • 12 Sep – PPI Data Release: How much has the cost to produce goods/services increased/decreased over the last month? Softening PPI = less incentive for domestic producers to raise their wholesale prices.

  • 18 Sep – FOMC Meeting: The moment we’ve all been waiting for! The meeting in which the Fed will discuss/decide upon a potential rate cut, which would lower the cost of borrowing and incentivize spending!

  • 20 Sep – Unemployment Data: Did unemployment tick up or down in August? We’ll find out September 20th.

Here’s what you want to ask for when you place your offering at the altar of the financial gods:

  1. CPI & PPI inflation continues to slow

  2. A relatively flat unemployment print

  3. An interest rate cut of .25%

Why? Because in this scenario the Fed would likely be cutting rates and helping to stimulate a relatively healthy economy. 📈 

(Instead of cutting in an attempt to save a breaking one, where unemployment has gained an uncomfortable amount of momentum).

2/ Rektember 💣

Alright – this is a bad news/good news situation.

Let’s rip the bandaid off straight away! 🩹 

Bad news: Historically, September has not been a great month for Bitcoin, and given that $BTC often leads the market, this can have knock-on effects across the board:

Good news: This time around, there is the possibility that new macro winds (the potential to see rate cuts for the first time since March 2020) could fill our sails and help push us north of 0% returns.

3/ Conferences 🎤

Looking for more good news to fill your portfolio’s proverbial sails? Check out these upcoming conferences:

  • 1-7 Sep – Korea Blockchain Week (Korea) 

  • 16-22 Sep – TOKEN2049 (Singapore)

  • 20–21 Sep – Solana Breakpoint (Singapore)

  • 25-26 Sep – European Blockchain Convention (Spain)

Conferences can be a great source of positive crypto news – companies & projects flock to the stage to show off their latest innovations, drum up excitement, and (potentially) spur greater investment.

Alright, those are the big three for this month! 

We’ll be back next week with our regularly scheduled ‘What To Look Out For This Week,’ where we’ll cover all the timely macro events, earnings, and token unlocks you need to know about.

Milk Man out (for real this time)!

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BITE-SIZED COOKIES FOR THE ROAD 🍪

Cardano has launched the first phase of its Chang upgrade, bringing decentralized governance to the blockchain. $ADA holders now have a say in the network’s future, with a second upgrade planned later this year​. – DL News

OKX has secured a full license in Singapore to offer digital payment services and crypto trading. The exchange also appointed a former top regulator as CEO, strengthening its position in the region​.

Metaplanet has partnered with SBI to enhance its Bitcoin strategy. This collaboration aims to leverage both companies’ expertise to drive Bitcoin-related developments​.

Kamala Harris’ chances of winning the 2024 election have dropped to 47% on Polymarket, with Donald Trump gaining ground. The betting shift reflects increasing uncertainty in the race​.

Join forces with the Milk Man! We’re looking for a Twitter Specialist + Content Creator who can mix crypto knowledge with top-notch tweets. Think you’re the one? Apply today and let’s get this show on the road!

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DISCLAIMER: None of this is financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions. Please be careful and do your own research.