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GM. This is Milk Road, serving up your daily crypto fix, one crypto ETF at a time.
Hereโs whatโs new today:
- Largest ETH daily candle in history ๐
- Chart of the day: Weekly fund flows report ๐
- PRO โWhere are we in the cycle?โ indicators ๐ค
- Yuga Labs faces backlash on new CryptoPunks ๐ช
Prices as of 9:30AM ET. Click here for our Fear & Greed Index
LARGEST ETH DAILY CANDLE IN HISTORY ๐
Yesterday, Ethereum surged from $3,047 to $3,694, skyrocketing 21% in just one day, the largest daily candle in history for ETH.
What caused this sudden shift in sentiment? Nope, it wasnโt the tech improving by 20% โ it was the U.S. Regulators.
Yesterday, the SEC requested Ethereum ETF applicants to update a key document, known as Form 19b-4, for listing and trading spot Ether ETFs.
Regulators pushing to update these filings on an accelerated basis hints at possible approvals as soon as Wednesday of this week (tomorrow).
This just made the outlook for a spot Ether ETF get a lot brighter, with Bloomberg analysts James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas upping their SEC approval odds from 25% to 75%.
Across the crypto and TradFi community it had become consensus that these ETFs wouldnโt be approved until at least the end of this year.
Obviously, many were underallocated to $ETH and after the news broke, Ethereum essentially added Solanaโs entire market cap in just one day.
Prediction markets clearly show how sentiment did a 180 regarding the spot ETH ETF approvalโgotta love crypto!
Next, the SEC must approve both the 19b-4s (exchange rule changes) and the S-1s (registration statements) for ETFs to launch.
An Ether ETF paves the way for many other crypto ETFs and legitimization across the entire space.
BTC was big news, no doubt, but most of the crypto ecosystem is built on smart contract platforms like Ethereum, not Bitcoin.
The impacts of this approval will go far beyond just the ability to trade an Ether ETF in the USA.
This approval, along with the FDIC chair stepping down (Martin Gruenberg was instrumental in facilitating Operation Chokepoint 2.0 targeting the digital asset industry) and the SAB 121 vote being overturned on Friday, signals a major political shift, marking the failure of anti-crypto stances and prompting allocators to seek exposure beyond just Bitcoin.
๐ฅ Milk Road Take: If (when) the Ether ETF gets approved then $ETH could explode to new highs, just like Bitcoin did.
We covered the supply crunch that ETFs created for Bitcoin, considering it was the first ever asset to be wrapped in an ETF (in the USA) that humans donโt have the ability to increase the supply of.
Well, Ethereum takes this to another level, hereโs the Milk Manโs math:
- Ether ETF approval = a significant increase in transactions on the Ethereum blockchain
- Increased transactions = more $ETH being burned
- More $ETH being burned = a lower supply of $ETH
- Less $ETH + increased demand from the ETH ETF = a supply and demand scenario that weโre not sure this world is ready for.
Not sure what weโre talking about?
Check out this $ETH Supply Dynamics Report we wrote last month to make sure you donโt fall behind on this one ๐
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CHART OF THE DAY: WEEKLY CRYPTO FUND FLOWS ๐
This weekโs ETH god candle might just rewrite the crypto narrative, but thereโs moreโฆ
Because last week, digital asset investment products raked in a staggering $932M in net inflows. Talk about a bullish newsletter ๐
Hereโs everything you need to know:
- $BTC led the way with $942M in inflows. Bitcoin inflows surged back after a weak month.
- $ETH saw $23M in outflows. $ETH was held down last week with SEC approval looking dim, these new approval odds will change this entirely!
- The US dominated with $1B in inflows, with Grayscale seeing minor inflows of $18M for the first time since the January ETF launch.
- Switzerland and Germany also saw minor inflows of $27M and $4.2M respectively, while Hong Kong and Canada saw outflows totaling $83M and $17M respectively.
- A wide range of altcoins saw inflows, notably Solana, Chainlink, and Cardano, with $4.9M, $3.7M, and $1.9M respectively.
Looks like Bitcoin's the life of the party, while Ethereum's making a comeback from the corner.
Don't underestimate political pressureโฆ the Biden administration just might be trying to appear more crypto-friendly.
PRO โWHERE ARE WE IN THE CYCLE?โ INDICATORS ๐
Crypto moves in cycles, and knowing where we are in the current cycle is crucial for capturing the best opportunities.
The goal is to spot the bull market peak before the inevitable bear market hits your bags hard.
Since timing the top perfectly is almost impossible, we use various indicators to give us a better shot at taking profits before it's too late.
Here are the 5 indicators we track, with a color-coded system to show how close they are to signaling the market peak:
๐ข Plenty of room to run ๐
๐ก Getting closer to the top signal, but havenโt yet reached the mark โ ๏ธ
๐ด Weโve hit the market top indicator ๐จ
Every Tuesday, we update these 5 indicators exclusively for PRO members.
Our advice? Don't wait for all of them to hit ๐ด. It's better to take profits as they get closer to that point.
Let's dive in and see if we're anywhere near the top of this bull market. ๐
