Host John Gillen speaks with Look Into Bitcoin research director Matt Crosby about the case that Bitcoin’s bear-market low is behind it. Crosby points to long-term holder conviction, seller exhaustion, realized-price data, ETF flows, global liquidity, and dollar weakness as signals that increasingly align with a new bull market.
Crosby estimates that long-term holders have completed only a small share of the distribution typically seen across prior cycles, suggesting the current bull market may be about 8.5% complete. He also outlines a speculative $340,000 to $400,000 scenario based on Bitcoin matching silver’s prior market-cap expansion, while stressing that no single indicator or price model offers certainty.
For the near term, Crosby says Bitcoin could consolidate or retreat after its sharp rise, with $100,000 still possible before year-end. His broader takeaway is to use multiple data sets, resist crowd sentiment, and react to changing conditions rather than rely on fixed forecasts.
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