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In today’s episode, we sit down with economist Peter St Onge to break down what rising oil prices mean for inflation, the labor market, and the broader macro economy. Historically, major recessions have often followed major oil shocks. But today’s global economy is very different from the 1970s. The U.S. is now one of the world’s largest energy producers, global supply chains have evolved, and central banks have powerful tools to manage economic slowdowns. So the real question investors should be asking is this: How high do oil prices actually need to go before they trigger a recession?
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