Today’s edition is brought to you by Consensus - the OG crypto conference lands in Hong Kong, Feb 18-20, 2025.
Use code "MILKROAD" for 15% off before our allocation runs out
GM. This is Milk Road – the Phil Jackson, to your Michael Jordan.
(We’re here to guide you to glory!).
Here’s what we got for you today:
- ✍️ Now is the worst time to give up on crypto
- ✍️ These 3 AI agents could make crypto way more user friendly
- 🥛 Milk Road PRO Portfolio updates
- 🎙️ The Milk Road Show: Why Crypto Is the Biggest Financial Opportunity in Our Lifetime w/ Dan Tapiero
- 🍪 We’re hiring a Social Media Manager at Milk Road—apply here!
Prices as of 2:00 PM ET. Click here for our Fear & Greed Index.
WHY NOW IS THE WORST TIME TO GIVE UP ON CRYPTO 💪
You know that moment halfway through the third act of just about every sports movie ever?
Everything had been going great all season…
But now it's the championship game and the team is hanging their heads in the locker room at halftime, down by what feels like an insurmountable amount of points.…
The coach enters the locker room…sits the wrong way around on a chair (cool camp counselor-style 👇) and gives a rallying speech that puts a raging fire under everyone’s butts.
This is that moment in the current bull run.
We had a great run in Q4 of last year! New all-time highs were constantly being hit, regulations were softening, there were talks of a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve…
But then tariff fears hit, our predicted pullbacks of 20-30% hit across multiple tokens, and now it feels like we’re down an insurmountable amount of points (which we’re struggling to regain)…
Yuh, well – consider the Milk Man your coach, cause we're about to hit you with the half-time pep talk you need right now!
Starting with this:
Everything we’re seeing right now (from the pullback, to its timing) is par for the course, historically.
Bitcoin’s ‘MVRV Z-Score’ (stupid name, awesome chart) tracks whether $BTC is undervalued or overvalued relative to its fair market value.
If the MVRV Z-Score is at or below zero, it indicates that $BTC’s market cap is equal to or lower than the realized value (the average purchase price for all $BTC holders) which has historically coincided with market bottoms.
Meanwhile, if it’s above 7, Bitcoin is seen as overvalued (hinting that $BTC is more likely to take a bull run-ending dive).
And right now – if history is anything to go by – we should be on the verge of the final, violent leg up of the crypto bull run. 👇
Side note: every Thursday we analyze the MVRV (along with other metrics) to gauge the market’s temperature for our PRO Subscribers – if you want access, you can join here).
Ok, that rules! Now, let’s zoom out even further to look at the broader economy as a whole…
Same deal. Things don’t feel great, but the data is strong. 👇
Translation:
- Purchasing managers for a slew of big companies are reporting that they’re buying more and more goods/services, indicating future economic expansion (tracked via the ISM)
- The US economy continues to grow (tracked via GDP)
- US companies continue to beat their earnings targets
Alright, now let’s put a bow on this thing:
You know that cinematic trope we outlined at the top of this article?
Isn’t it weird how – even though you’ve sat through the same narrative a million times – in the moment, you’ll still find yourself wondering if the team will be able to turn the game around?
But if you were to stop and think critically in the moment, you’d know they’re probably going to take the win.
That’s what we all need to do now.
Sure, the market could go to hell — this could be a ‘Rocky losing to Apollo Creed’ type situation…but it’s more likely to follow the same old tired trope.
Which makes the moment we are in now the worst time to give up on crypto.
(Alright, huddle up – ‘WAGMI’ on three!)
THE YEAR OF THE WOOD SNAKE
The Lunar New Year has ushered in the Year of the Wood Snake—a year of intelligence, intuition, and transformation. Sounds like your kind of year.
Consensus, the ultimate gathering of crypto’s brightest minds and biggest players, is expanding to Asia for the first time—bringing East and West together in Hong Kong, Feb 18-20.
If you haven’t booked your trip yet, it’s time to make moves. Start here.
How to justify it to your significant other:
- 🧠 Intelligence – Hear from industry leaders at Binance, Solana, Robinhood, OKX, Animoca, Mysten Labs & Berchain.
- 🔮 Intuition – 80% of attendees are Director level or higher, making it the ultimate networking hub.
- 🚀 Transformation – 82% of attendees say Consensus is their #1 event for dealmaking.
Use code "MILKROAD" for 15% off before our allocation runs out
See you in Hong Kong.
3 AI AGENTS THAT COULD MAKE CRYPTO A WHOLE LOT MORE USER FRIENDLY 🤝
Alright, we’ve filled our chart-gazing quota for the day.
Time for some water cooler-friendly content – the kind of stuff that you can take to your non-crypto native friends and get them excited about the promise of blockchain technology.
Luckily for us, Coinbase’s latest hackathon has done the heavy lifting on our behalf, presenting us with three new AI x crypto apps that’ll make your normie friends go ‘hey, that’s kinda cool!’
1/ 'Mamoriko' (The Automated Yield Manager Agent)
Mamoriko checks for the best yield opportunities available to $USDC holders on Base every 15 mins, moving users’ funds around to make sure they’re always getting the highest/safest yields available to them.
2/ ‘TweetBounty’ (A marketplace for AI marketing services)
Honestly, we’re kind of surprised this one didn’t take first place.
You post a bounty (say $500) on TweetBounty → a bunch of AI agents attempt to create viral content around your product → the tweets with the highest engagement win the bounty.
Brb, firing our marketing intern (sorry, Raul).
3/ ‘AgentKit Chatbot’ (A ChatGPT-style portfolio assistant)
The AgentKit Chatbot lets you create your own AI portfolio assistant across Base and Ethereum, which does a whole bunch of ‘busy work’ for you – for example:
You ask your agent “Where can I get the highest lending yield on $ETH right now?” → it hits you with its findings → if all looks good, you can ask it to deploy your funds.
See how each of these products could solve a whole bunch of pain points for potential new crypto users?
We’re talking about the kinds of folks that have previously said “Crypto is interesting, but…”:
- “Searching for better yields every other week sounds tiring”
- “Growing a following on Crypto Twitter is too much of a grind”
- “I don’t know the first thing about crypto research, and I don’t have the time to learn”
These are all just baby steps for now, but they could soon turn into leaps and bounds!
MILK ROAD PRO PORTFOLIO UPDATES 📊
We’ve tried to create a portfolio that is robust enough to weather most storms…and those efforts have just been put to one hell of a test!
So how did the Milk Road PRO Portfolio shape up after the global trade wars kicked off over the weekend — and are we making any allocation changes?
To find out, all you need to do is keep scrolling (and go PRO if you haven’t already).
Disclosure: We are not a day trading portfolio so don’t expect a high volume of trades. Read our “How To Build a Crypto Portfolio” report to learn more about our portfolio strategy.
Portfolio performance 📉
The Milk Road PRO Portfolio saw a moderate decrease over the past 7 days. Our portfolio value is at $114.3K, down 5.9% since last week.
Portfolio prices are updated daily at 6:00 AM ET.
This time, the market turbulence wasn’t triggered by news from China. Instead, it was the U.S. tariffs on Canada and Mexico that shook things up—though they were quickly put on hold for a month.
We’re seeing firsthand how Trump uses tariffs as a negotiation tool. The S&P 500 reacted mildly with a 2% drop, while the crypto market took a much bigger hit, falling around 10%.
Bitcoin held up surprisingly well during this market shakeup, showing that holders aren’t quick to sell—definitely a positive sign for the future. Meanwhile, major coins like ETH took a bigger hit, dropping over 15%, and many altcoins crashed by more than 20%.
Market uncertainty tends to drive higher volatility, especially for riskier assets like cryptocurrency. We have to remember the game we’re playing—high volatility is the price we pay for the chance at massive gains.
Portfolio changes 👀
The Milk Road PRO Portfolio is available for Milk Road PRO members only.
Already a PRO member? Log in here.
GO PRO AND UNLOCK:
- Full access to the Milk Road PRO Portfolio, our yield strategies & weekly updates to see what we’re actively investing in 👆
- NEW: Unlimited access to the Milk Road PRO Token Center with token ratings and insights. 🔓
- Weekly “Where Are We In The Cycle?” indicators to help you spot the bull market top before it’s too late 📈
- Weekly reports that help you spot early trends, navigate the markets by limiting risk & catch those sweet cha-ching moments 💰
- Access to the PRO Community, where the Milk Road crew & 1000s of fellow PROs talk crypto. Don’t miss the monthly live events! 🫂
- 50% OFF the Crypto Investing Masterclass 📚️
PRO REVIEW OF THE WEEK
BITE-SIZED COOKIES FOR THE ROAD 🍪
We just dropped a guide to the best research tools in crypto. Everyone keeps telling you to DYOR but no one tells you where to do it. Well, we’re not everyone.
Quick update: U.S. tariffs on Canada and Mexico will be paused for at least 30 days. We speculated this yesterday but now it’s clear, tariffs = negotiation tactics.
Berachain mainnet coming in 2 days. Why is this a big deal? Because it’ll start as one of the biggest chains with more than $3B in TVL.
FTX repayments to start in 2 weeks. Will this bring buying pressure, selling pressure, or total chaos? We’ll just have to wait and see.
We’re hiring a social media manager! You’ll be the voice of Milk Road across X, Instagram, Youtube and maybe even more. Oh, and we’re a blast to work with.
Crypto funding rates can be a powerful investment indicator. Yeah, we know—funding rates = nerd territory. But don’t worry, we break it down quite well (at least we think we do).
MILKY MEMES 🤣
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DISCLAIMER: None of this is financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions. Please be careful and do your own research.
