March 5, 2024

πŸ₯› Crypto’s feeling greedy πŸ€‘

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GM. This is Milk Road. Think of us as your crypto news barista – we know your order, and yes, we add the extra shot of clarity.

Here’s what we got for you today:

  • Fear & greed hits 90! πŸ“Š

  • Coinbase enters the Top 50 πŸ…

  • Coming soon: more volatility πŸ‘€

  • Solana is breaking records πŸͺ


FEAR & GREED HITS 90! πŸ“Š

The fear & greed (F&G) index is one of our favorite things to look at.Β 

It’s a good way to understand how the market is β€œfeeling.” 

Here’s how it works:Β 

  • Each day, there’s a new number

  • It ranges from 1 (extreme fear) β€”> 100 (extreme greed)

  • How is it calculated?

    • 25% Volatility (looking at 30 & 90-day average drawdowns)

    • 25% Market volume (again, looking at 30 & 90-day averages)

    • 15% Social media mentions

    • 15% SurveysΒ 

    • 10% Market dominance (BTC vs. Altcoins)

    • 10% Google Trends search volume

    • 15% Concentrated Power Of Willℒ️

Well, the F&G index just did something I failed to do on any high school math test… scored a 90!Β 

Why this matters: This is the first time the F&G index hit 90+ since 2021.Β 

The last time it did? It stayed above 90 for a few months (green dots below) and BTC ended up rallying from $15K β†’ $60K.Β 

We’ll see what happens this time around.

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COINBASE ENTERS THE TOP 50 πŸ…

LOOK! Up in the sky…

Person 1: β€œIt’s a bird!”

Person 2: β€œNo! It’s a plane!”

Milk Man: β€œNahhh, that’s just Coinbase flying through the App Store!”

That’s right. The U.S. crypto exchange has been on a roll lately…

  • It started the year ranked #489. AKA β€œparticipation ribbon” status.

  • Today, it’s ranked #49.Β 

Why this matters: It’s the first time Coinbase has been ranked in the Top 50 since February 2022.Β 

Retail is back, baby!

COMING SOON: MORE VOLATILITY πŸ‘€

Check it out. There’s something called the β€œDVOL Index.” 

  • The index was created by the crypto exchange Deribit.

  • It’s calculated using the exchange’s option order book and tries to predict BTC’s volatility over the next 30 days.

Well, the DVOL has jumped from 40% β†’ 76% over the last month.Β 

Buckle up. It looks like we could be in for some volatility over the next month.Β 

Remember, crypto is like a mechanical bull at a bar. It’s all fun and games till the bull throws the drunk girl off and she pukes.

BITE-SIZED COOKIES FOR THE ROAD πŸͺ

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Solana’s weekly DeFi trading volume hit $11B last week. That’s a new weekly record!

The SEC delayed its decision on BlackRock’s ETH ETF (again). The move was largely expected. Most analysts believe that a decision to either green light or postpone the launch of the ETH ETFs won’t come until May.

MicroStrategy is looking to raise $600M in financing through convertible notes. The company said it would use it β€œto acquire additional bitcoin and for general corporate purposes.”

Ethereum gas fees are skyrocketing. To put things in perspective, the average fee to complete an NFT transaction on Ethereum hit ~$370 at certain points yesterday.

Some Coinbase users had a β€œzero balance” glitch on their accounts yesterday. I guess there’s a 2-for-1 special going on because the same thing happened last week…

Deutsche Boerse (the operator of Germany’s largest stock exchange) is launching a crypto trading platform for institutional clients. It will offer a fully regulated ecosystem for trading, settlement, and custody of crypto assets.

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DISCLAIMER: None of this is financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions. Please be careful and do your own research.